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Making Cents of the Dollar

September 21, 2007
The US dollar’s slide is once again prompting a steady drum beat warning that the end is nigh. While a further dollar decline seems likely, its demise is likely being exaggerated and a recovery is likely late this year or early next year. This view is predicated on the understanding that what is ailing the dollar is largely cyclical in nature and…
Making Cents of the Dollar Making Cents of the Dollar Reviewed by magonomics on September 21, 2007 Rating: 5
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Trade and The Dollar

September 14, 2007
One of the interesting elements in the US dollar’s recent decline is that few, if any, are suggesting that it is being driven by its perennial nemesis, the large trade deficit. Most seem to recognize that the divergence of monetary policy and the anticipated trajectory of interest rate differentials are the significant force driving the greenback …
Trade and The Dollar Trade and The Dollar Reviewed by magonomics on September 14, 2007 Rating: 5
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The Rubicon is Crossed

September 07, 2007
The unexpected decline in non-farm payrolls, the first such decline in four years, leaves no doubt that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at the September 18 FOMC meeting. The jobs data, which included a downward revision of 81k jobs over the past couple of months, is simply horrific and fans the most pessimistic fears. The housing mark…
The Rubicon is Crossed The Rubicon is Crossed Reviewed by magonomics on September 07, 2007 Rating: 5
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