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The War Escalates and Markets are Unimpressed with IEA Oil Move

March 12, 2026
The Middle East war is escalating. The market seems unimpressed with the announcement that strategic oil reserves will be released. The announcement is light on details, such as pace and composition. Moreover, the markets’ understanding of the disruption is well beyond oil and includes gas, fertilizer, sulfur, and urea. Adding to the geo-economic …
The War Escalates and Markets are Unimpressed with IEA Oil Move The War Escalates and Markets are Unimpressed with IEA Oil Move Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 12, 2026 Rating: 5
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Middle East War Intensifies, IEA Proposes a Coordinated Release of Strategic Reserves, G7 to Consider Middle East War Intensifies, IEA Proposes a Coordinated Release of Strategic Reserves, G7 to Consider Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 11, 2026 Rating: 5
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Investors Find Hope in the Fog of War

March 10, 2026
The markets have put much stock in President Trump’s signal that the war on Iran may be nearly over. News today suggests that the Strait of Hormuz remains mostly blocked and several European countries have committed more military hardware to defend the UAE. In the fog of war, public pronouncements are part of the war effort. Nevertheless, the mark…
Investors Find Hope in the Fog of War Investors Find Hope in the Fog of War Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 10, 2026 Rating: 5
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Capital Markets Remain Unsettled with Oil Above $100

March 09, 2026
The Middle East war continues to dominate the investment environment. The dollar is firm. Equities are lower. Yields are higher. The disruption of trade through the Strait of Hormuz is forcing oil producers to shut down output due to limited storage capacity. Sulfur and urea supplies are also being disrupted, as is natural gas and this is having a…
Capital Markets Remain Unsettled with Oil Above $100 Capital Markets Remain Unsettled with Oil Above $100 Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 09, 2026 Rating: 5
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Week Ahead: War and More War

March 07, 2026
The Middle East war changes everything. And President Trump's demand for an unconditional surrender makes a near-term off-ramp more difficult to envision. Moreover, the impact ripples through a wide swath the global economy. Food is very oil and gas intensive, taking into account transportation, fertilizer, and pesticides. Worker remittances a…
Week Ahead: War and More War Week Ahead: War and More War Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 07, 2026 Rating: 5
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War Continues to Roil the Markets

March 06, 2026
The war continues to disrupt the global capital markets. The US dollar remains firm though mostly within the ranges seen in recent days. It is threatening to break higher against the Japanese yen, where the JPY158 level is coming under pressure. Still, the yen, despite Japan’s reliance on imported oil and refined products is the second-best perfor…
War Continues to Roil the Markets War Continues to Roil the Markets Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 06, 2026 Rating: 5
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War-Driven Markets

March 05, 2026
The Gulf War continues rage. China has reportedly told top oil refiners to suspend exports of diesel and gasoline. The disruption is beginning to impact shipments of fertilizer, chemicals, aluminum, as well as natural gas and oil fuels. In the next few days, several countries will reportedly run out of storage capacity and will have to cut output.…
War-Driven Markets War-Driven Markets Reviewed by Marc Chandler on March 05, 2026 Rating: 5
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