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Week Ahead: Tug-of-War between Softer US Rates and Safe-Haven from Escalating Middle East War Week Ahead: Tug-of-War between Softer US Rates and Safe-Haven from Escalating Middle East War Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 18, 2026 Rating: 5
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War and Tech Slump Weigh on Sentiment

July 17, 2026
There are two major concerns that are spurring risk off ahead of the weekend. First, the Middle East war is escalating, and there does not seem to be a near-term off-ramp. Second, the rout in technology stocks is rippling through the equity markets, and sharp losses in many Asia Pacific equity markets have been recorded today and the Nasdaq is poi…
War and Tech Slump Weigh on Sentiment War and Tech Slump Weigh on Sentiment Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 17, 2026 Rating: 5
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US Dollar Losses Yesterday Have Been Mostly Sustained Today

July 16, 2026
There seems to be a nervous calm in the foreign exchange market. The US dollar is mostly in narrow ranges around little changed levels. The euro, for example, is in about a 15-tick range and the greenback is confined to less than a quarter of a yen range. Despite the slightly stronger than expected May UK GDP (0.1%) sterling is among the heaviest …
US Dollar Losses Yesterday Have Been Mostly Sustained Today US Dollar Losses Yesterday Have Been Mostly Sustained Today Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 16, 2026 Rating: 5
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US Dollar is Mostly Firmer, August WTI Recovers above $80, and China's GDP Disappoints but New 3-year Low Dollar Fix US Dollar is Mostly Firmer, August WTI Recovers above $80, and China's GDP Disappoints but New 3-year Low Dollar Fix Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 15, 2026 Rating: 5
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Oil Extends Recovery, US Dollar Consolidates, JGBs Rally on New Fin Min Suggestion, China's June Trade Surplus Swells

July 14, 2026
The US dollar is consolidating yesterday’s gains today. An off-ramp to the Middle East conflict seems increasingly elusive. After surging more than 9% yesterday, the front month WTI and Brent oil futures contracts are up 3.6%-4.6% today. There are three developments in the US that will be closely monitored today. First, the June CPI is due. It loo…
Oil Extends Recovery, US Dollar Consolidates, JGBs Rally on New Fin Min Suggestion, China's June Trade Surplus Swells Oil Extends Recovery, US Dollar Consolidates, JGBs Rally on New Fin Min Suggestion, China's June Trade Surplus Swells Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 14, 2026 Rating: 5
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Middle East Conflict and Pressure on Chips Challenge Investors

July 13, 2026
The re-intensification of the Middle East war initially roiled the markets but as the session progressed, oil has pulled back and equities have stabilized. August WTI briefly traded above $75 and is now around $73.50, which is still nearly 3% higher. Most of the large Asia Pacific equity markets were under pressure but Europe is little changed and…
Middle East Conflict and Pressure on Chips Challenge Investors Middle East Conflict and Pressure on Chips Challenge Investors Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 13, 2026 Rating: 5
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Week Ahead: US CPI, China's Q2 GDP, and Bank of Canada Meeting Featured

July 11, 2026
The US dollar was mixed last week. The combination of strong data and the central bank's hawkish hike lifted the New Zealand dollar to the top of the G10 currencies. The roughly 4.5% rally in Brent oil, the first weekly gain in five weeks, seemed to help the Norwegian krone came in a close second. The low yielding Swiss franc and Japanese yen …
Week Ahead: US CPI, China's Q2 GDP, and Bank of Canada Meeting Featured Week Ahead: US CPI, China's Q2 GDP, and Bank of Canada Meeting Featured Reviewed by Marc Chandler on July 11, 2026 Rating: 5
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