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War in Middle East Sends Oil Prices and Yields Higher, Underpins the Dollar

September 28, 2026
The US has rejected Iran’s latest offer and appears to be moving more force into the region. Oil prices have jumped, which is also serving to push up yields.  The dollar is firmer against most of the G10 currencies. New verbal intervention by Japanese officials, clinging on to the cooperation of the US, to warn against yen weakness. Yet, with risi…
War in Middle East Sends Oil Prices and Yields Higher, Underpins the Dollar War in Middle East Sends Oil Prices and Yields Higher, Underpins the Dollar Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 28, 2026 Rating: 5
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Week Ahead: Dollar Bulls may be Challenged

September 26, 2026
Our assessment of the dollar's technical condition and the upcoming economic data appear to be aligning in a way that warns of the downside risks. The greenback has climbed on the sharp rise in interest rates. With the market discounting nearly 100 bp of tightening over the next 12 months, including a nearly 2/3 chance of a hike late next mont…
Week Ahead: Dollar Bulls may be Challenged Week Ahead: Dollar Bulls may be Challenged Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 26, 2026 Rating: 5
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Softer US Interest Rates Help the Greenback Steady and Talk of US-Japan Coordination Snaps the Yen's Five-Day Slide

September 25, 2026
Oil and US rates are softer today and these developments have helped steady the US dollar after this week’s surge. Even with a firmer tone today, four of the G10 currencies are off more than 1% this week. The yen would have been among them, but comments earlier today from Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama played up the ongoing coordination with th…
Softer US Interest Rates Help the Greenback Steady and Talk of US-Japan Coordination Snaps the Yen's Five-Day Slide Softer US Interest Rates Help the Greenback Steady and Talk of US-Japan Coordination Snaps the Yen's Five-Day Slide Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 25, 2026 Rating: 5
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No Kings but King Dollar

September 24, 2026
The surge in US rates continues to underpin the greenback. The market anticipates a more aggressive tightening cycle than the Federal Reserve’s recent Summary of Economic Projections suggested. The Atlanta Fed’s GDP tracker points to 5.1% growth this quarter, which would surely surpass China’s. Treasury Secretary Bessent announced a two-month tari…
No Kings but King Dollar No Kings but King Dollar Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 24, 2026 Rating: 5
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Greenback is Bid

September 23, 2026
The US dollar is stronger against all the G10 currencies and most emerging market currencies today. The euro has approached $1.14, despite firmer than expected preliminary September PMI. Japan’s markets re-open tomorrow for the first time this week, and the market has taken the dollar to almost JPY158, around where it peaked before last weekend. O…
Greenback is Bid Greenback is Bid Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 23, 2026 Rating: 5
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Plaza Agreement, R.I.P.

September 22, 2026
The Plaza Agreement turns 41 today. The anniversary is worth remembering not simply because it was one of the great episodes of coordinated foreign-exchange policy, but because it is increasingly being invoked as a template for a new agreement to force the Chinese yuan higher.That analogy is appealing. It is also misleading.The Plaza Agreement was…
Plaza Agreement, R.I.P. Plaza Agreement, R.I.P. Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 22, 2026 Rating: 5
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Lower Oil Prices Could Help Snap the Nearly Two-Week Rise in the US Two-Year Rate Lower Oil Prices Could Help Snap the Nearly Two-Week Rise in the US Two-Year Rate Reviewed by Marc Chandler on September 22, 2026 Rating: 5
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