Here is a Great Graphic from the Wall Street Journal on China's GDP. Earlier today it reported Q2 GDP expanded by 7.6% from a year ago, which was largely in line with expectations, though it was still the slowest year-over-year pace since early 2009.
The composition of growth is disappointing. Even though net exports continued to be a drag, there is little sign that the economy is really evolving to a a more consumption oriented economy. Consumption actually contributed less to GDP. The increase in investment is also not necessarily a good thing. It could be redundant investment that aggravates excess capacity. Moreover, capital investment appears to have reached a point of diminishing returns. Every unit of additional investment is not generating the same unit of growth that was previously the case.
Bottom Line: China's GDP figure were not horrible, but the economy is still slowing and further monetary stimulus is likely in the coming months.
Great Graphic: China's GDP and Composition
Reviewed by Marc Chandler
on
July 13, 2012
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