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Short Reprieve is Over, Volatility is Back, and Dollar and Equities Slump

April 16, 2025
Overview:  The reprieve from the angst of the trade war lasted a couple of days but it has returned following Beijing's actions against Boeing and the US requiring Nvidia to get export licenses to sell its H20 chip, designed to meet the previous restrictions on China. ASML's disappointing orders and results adds the concerns. The US celebr…
Short Reprieve is Over, Volatility is Back, and Dollar and Equities Slump Short Reprieve is Over, Volatility is Back, and Dollar and Equities Slump Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 16, 2025 Rating: 5
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Markets Consolidate, but Nervously So, Remaining One Social Media Post Away from Euphoria or Doom Markets Consolidate, but Nervously So, Remaining One Social Media Post Away from Euphoria or Doom Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 15, 2025 Rating: 5
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Greenback Remains on the Defensive, While Stocks and Bonds Come Back Better Bid Greenback Remains on the Defensive, While Stocks and Bonds Come Back Better Bid Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 14, 2025 Rating: 5
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Week Ahead: Liberation Day Leaves the Dollar Unloved

April 12, 2025
The global capital markets continue to reel from the profound changes being ushered in by the new US administration. It is arguably too soon to see the economic impact as efforts to get ahead of the US tariffs may be goosing some measures of economic activity. The government and private sector job cuts have yet to filter into weekly jobless claims…
Week Ahead: Liberation Day Leaves the Dollar Unloved Week Ahead: Liberation Day Leaves the Dollar Unloved Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 12, 2025 Rating: 5
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After Stocks and Bonds were Roiled, It is the Dollar's Turn Today

April 11, 2025
Overview:  The trade war continues to roil the capital markets. The US corrected itself and said that rather than 125%, tariffs on China have been raised by 145%. And China retaliated by hiking the tariff on US goods to 125%. Of course, the sensitivity of demand to price increases (elasticity) varies from product-to-product but now it would appear…
After Stocks and Bonds were Roiled, It is the Dollar's Turn Today After Stocks and Bonds were Roiled, It is the Dollar's Turn Today Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 11, 2025 Rating: 5
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Markets Remain Unsettled Despite the US Postponement of the Reciprocal Tariffs Markets Remain Unsettled Despite the US Postponement of the Reciprocal Tariffs Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 10, 2025 Rating: 5
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Fragile Calm in the Capital Markets

April 08, 2025
(traveling; no commentary tomorrow)Overview: The dramatic price action in throughout the capital markets after last week's US tariff announcements, China's retaliation, and yesterday's US threat of another 50% tariff on China has calmed today, in a nervous way. Indeed, the calm could be shattered by one comment or social media post by …
Fragile Calm in the Capital Markets Fragile Calm in the Capital Markets Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 08, 2025 Rating: 5
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Shades of Smoot-Hawley: Depression Feared

April 07, 2025
Overview:  At the end of last week, there was much talk about Black Monday and today it is here. Various circuit breakers kicked in as stocks plummeted. The Nikkei 225 fell 7.8%, and while China's CSI 300 fell 7.05%, the index of mainland shares that trading in Hong Kong dropped 13.75%. The Hang Seng itself was down 13.2%. Europe's Stoxx 6…
Shades of Smoot-Hawley: Depression Feared Shades of Smoot-Hawley: Depression Feared Reviewed by Marc Chandler on April 07, 2025 Rating: 5
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